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Global Biofuels Market Outlook to 2031

Region:Global

Author(s):Namita, Aishwarya

Product Code:KENGR062

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Published On

January 2025

Total pages

82

About the Report

Global Biofuels Market Overview

  • The global biofuel market, valued at approximately USD 144.8 bn, is driven by increasing energy demands and the push for sustainable energy solutions. A five-year historical analysis highlights how government incentives, technological advancements in biofuel production, and rising crude oil prices have played pivotal roles in this growth.

market overviews

  • Dominant players in the market include the United States, Brazil, and the European Union, with significant contributions from Indonesia and India. The dominance of these regions is attributed to their abundant feedstock availability, supportive government policies, and well-established production infrastructure.

Global Biofuels Market Segmentation

Global Biofuels Market is divided into further segments:

  • By Fuel Type: The global biofuel market is segmented by fuel type into bioethanol, biodiesel, biogas, biojet fuel (sustainable aviation fuel), and other biofuels. Biodiesel is leads the marlet. This growth is driven by its increasing use in heavy transportation and industrial sectors, combined with government support in the form of blending mandates.

market overviews

  • By Region: Geographically, the Global Biofuels Market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa. North America leads the biofuel market due to the presence of advanced production facilities, government support, and extensive research and development initiatives.

market overviews

  • By Application: The Global Biofuels Marketsegmentation by application covers electricity generation, heating, transportation, and others (including raw materials for bioplastics and biochemicals). Transportation leads the market, driven by increasing adoption of biofuels as an alternative to fossil fuels in vehicles, along with stringent emission regulations.

Global Biofuels Market Competitive Landscape

The biofuel market is characterized by intense competition, with key players focusing on innovations, sustainability initiatives, and geographic expansion. The companies highlighted below are leaders in biofuel production and have leveraged their advanced technologies, partnerships, and resource availability to maintain a strong position in the market.

market overviews

Global Biofuels Industry Analysis

Market Growth Drivers

  • Technological Advancements in Production: Advanced biofuels technologies, including hydroprocessing and Fischer-Tropsch, are expanding the production of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and other biofuels to meet growing demand. For Instance, companies like LanzaJet and GEVO are leading developments in producing Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) using these technologies.
  • Growth in Renewable Diesel Capacity: Investments in renewable diesel production facilities are increasing, notably in North America. The appeal of renewable diesel lies in its properties as a drop-in alternative to fossil diesel, which enables it to be used without modifications in existing engines and infrastructure. For Instance, more North American refineries, like those involved in collaborations between Marathon and ADM, and Chevron and Bunge, are converting to produce renewable diesel by boosting soybean processing capacity."
  • Demand for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): The aviation industry is reducing carbon emissions by securing offtake agreements for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), driven by industry initiatives and potential regulations for lower carbon fuels. For Instance, KLM has entered into SAF agreements and plans to blend 0.5% SAF in all flights from Amsterdam, adjusting ticket prices to manage costs.

Market Challenges

  • Feedstock Availability and Sustainability: Biofuels from agricultural crops compete with food production for land, posing potential food security issues. The cultivation of biofuel crops can lead to deforestation, biodiversity loss, and water depletion if not managed sustainably. For Instance, in Indonesia and Malaysia, large tracts of tropical forests have been cleared to plant palm oil, which is a key feedstock for biodiesel.
  • Economic Viability: Producing biofuels involves high costs for growing, harvesting, and conversion, often exceeding those for fossil fuels without subsidies or technological advancements. Many biofuel projects depend on government subsidies to remain economically viable, leaving them vulnerable to policy changes. For Instance, the U.S. biodiesel industry has experienced fluctuations in production linked to the expiration and reinstatement of the biodiesel tax credit, demonstrating how dependent the industry is on government financial support.

Global Biofuels Future Market Outlook

Over the next five years, the biofuel market is expected to experience significant growth reaching a market size of USD 276.6 Bn by 2031, driven by the global transition to cleaner energy, advancements in biofuel technology, and increased investments in research and development. Government support through subsidies and renewable energy targets will continue to boost production capacity and adoption rates.

market overviews

Market Opportunities

  • Diversification of Feedstocks: The future of SAF production will likely see a shift towardsnon-edible oilsas primary feedstocks, particularly in Europe and the United States. This diversification supports long-term sustainability and enhances production capacities, allowing for greater flexibility and resilience in supply chains. As the market evolves, the use of various feedstocks such as used cooking oil, agricultural residues, and even municipal solid waste will become more prevalent.
  • Growth in Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): The growth of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) is set to accelerate significantly in the coming years, driven by new mandates from the EU and Japan that are fostering global production expansion. As the industry embraces co-processing technologies, existing refinery setups can integrate SAF production at competitive costs, making it a viable alternative to traditional jet fuels.

Scope of the Report

Segment

Sub-Segments

Fuel Type

Bioethanol

Biodiesel

Biogas 7.0%

Biojet Fuel - Sustainable Aviation Fuel

Other Biofuels

Feedstock Type

First Generation

Second Generation

Third Generation

Fourth Generation

Application

Electricity Generation

Heating

Transportation

Others (Bioplastics, Biochemicals)

Region

North America

Europe

Asia-Pacific

Latin America

Middle East & Africa

Products

Key Target Audience

  • Government and Regulatory Bodies (e.g., U.S. Department of Energy, European Commission)
  • Biofuel Manufacturers
  • Feedstock Suppliers
  • Energy Companies
  • Automotive Companies
  • Investors and Venture Capitalist Firms
  • Research and Development Institutions
  • NGOs and Environmental Organizations

Companies

Players mentioned in the report

  • Cargill
  • Neste
  • Razen
  • Shell PLC
  • ADM US

Table of Contents

1 Market Overview

1.1 Ecosystem

1.1.1 Ecosystem: Biofuel Players

1.1.2 Heat Map Analysis

1.1.3 Heat Map comparing players based on product offering and geographical presence

1.2 Product Flow and Value Chain

1.2.1 Biofuel Market Detailed Product Flow from feedstock procurement to retail and end use

1.2.2 Value Chain segmented as upstream, midstream, and downstream

1.2.3 Understanding of Biofuel Production Process, Market Segmentation, and Industry Value Chain

2 Market Size

2.1 Market Size of Global Biofuel Market

2.1.1 Market Size by Value and Volume, in USD Bn (2021-2031) (in Bn Litres)

3. Market Segmentation

3.1 Market Segmentation by Region

3.1.1 Market Size for Global, North America, Europe, APAC, LATAM, MEA

3.1.2 Share of each segment and historical growth trends

3.2 Market Segmentation by Fuel Type

3.2.1 Market Size for Bioethanol, Biodiesel, Biogas, Bio-jet fuel, and other emerging biofuels

3.3 Market Segmentation by Feedstock Type

3.3.1 Market Size for First Generation Feedstock, Second Generation Feedstock, and Third & Fourth Generation Feedstock

3.4 Market Segmentation by Application

3.4.1 Market Size for Electricity Generation, Heating, Transportation, and Industrial Uses (Bioplastics, Biochemicals, Biobased Products)

4 Competitive Landscape

4.1 Growth Matrix

4.1.1 Strategic positioning and risk appetite of key players in the biofuels market

4.2 Competition Matrix

4.2.1 Analysis of companies based on number of plants/refineries and production capacity

4.3 Cross Comparison

4.3.1 Comparison for Biofuel Players - Neste, Shell PLC, ADM US, Valero Energy, BP Plc, Bunge, Cargill, Total Energy, Raizen, Chevron Renewable Energy Group, Louis Dreyfus Company, The Andersons

4.3.2 Company Overview, Headquarters, Establishment Year, Employee Headcount (March 2024), Geographical Presence, Revenue ($/Bn) in 2023, Estimated Revenue by Segment, R&D Expenditure, Key Product Offerings, Plants/Refineries & Production Capacity, Recent Developments (M&A, New Product, Geographical Entry, Investment, Funding, Partnerships, Future Plans)

4.4 Case Studies

4.4.1 Gevo - Advanced Renewable Fuels (Overview, Challenges, Solutions, Impact)

4.4.2 Fulcrum Bioenergy

4.4.3 Lanza Tech

5. Market Dynamics

5.1 Market Drivers

5.1.1 Stringent and Expanding Regulatory Policies

5.1.2 Technological Advancements in Production

5.1.3 Growth in Renewable Diesel Capacity

5.1.4 Demand for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF)

5.1.5 Biofuel Tax Credits and Incentives

5.1.6 Integration of Biofuels in Energy Policies

5.2 Challenges

5.2.1 Feedstock Availability and Sustainability

5.2.2 Economic Viability

5.2.3 Technological Barriers

5.2.4 Environmental Impact

5.3 Trends

5.3.1 Growth in Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF)

5.3.2 Diversification of Feedstocks

5.3.3 Plant Conversions

5.3.4 Maritime Decarbonization

5.3.5 Utilization of Solid Waste

6. Future Outlook

6.1 Projected Market Growth and Opportunities

6.2 Key Future Developments

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Research Methodology

Step 1: Identification of Comprehensive Ecosystem of Global & Regional Players in the Biofuel Market

The research process began with the identification and mapping of key players in the biofuel market, both at the global and regional levels. This involved analyzing the ecosystem to understand the roles of manufacturers, suppliers, distributors, and end-users. Secondary research was conducted using company reports, government databases, industry whitepapers, and trade publications to collect data on market dynamics, technology adoption, and competitive positioning. A detailed value chain analysis was also performed to understand the interplay of stakeholders and identify key growth opportunities.

Step 2: CATIs with Key Stakeholders

Computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATIs) were conducted with a wide range of stakeholders, including manufacturers, suppliers, investors, and technology providers. These discussions provided insights into their operational and financial indicators, such as product portfolios, margins, technology adoption, and revenue distribution by segment. The interviews also covered strategic initiatives, future plans, and innovations, ensuring the inclusion of critical qualitative and quantitative data in the analysis. Input from these stakeholders allowed for the validation of hypotheses and the identification of emerging trends in the biofuel industry.

Step 3: Bottom-to-Top & Top-to-Bottom Approach

The market size and dynamics were evaluated using a combination of bottom-up and top-down approaches. The bottom-up method included aggregating revenues and shipment data from individual companies and regional markets to determine the total market size. The top-down approach validated these findings by analyzing macroeconomic indicators, industry trends, and global demand-supply dynamics. Additionally, sanity checks were conducted with industry veterans, professionals, end-users, and proxy variables to ensure the reliability and accuracy of the data. These triangulation techniques helped refine the market estimates and provide a comprehensive overview of the biofuel market.

Frequently Asked Questions

01. How big is the global biofuel market?

The global biofuel market, valued at USD 144.8 bn, is driven by increasing energy demands, technological advancements, and government support for renewable energy.

02. What are the challenges in the global biofuel market?

Key challenges in the global biofuel marketinclude high production costs, competition with food production, and limited feedstock availability. These factors pose barriers to market growth.

03. Who are the major players in the global biofuel market?

Major players in the global biofuel market include POET LLC, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Wilmar International Limited, and Shell PLC. These companies dominate due to their advanced technologies and strong production capacities.

04. What are the growth drivers of the global biofuel market?

The global biofuel marketis propelled by increasing energy demands, rising crude oil prices, and supportive government policies promoting renewable energy adoption.

 

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